The Centre has one of the largest supercomputer facilities and meteorological data archives in the world See our, Read a limited number of articles each month, You consent to the use of cookies and tracking by us and third parties to provide you with personalized ads, Unlimited access to washingtonpost.com on any device, Unlimited access to all Washington Post apps, No on-site advertising or third-party ad tracking. category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale, NOAA: Tropical Storm Epsilon Track, Spaghetti Models. Central Pacific Hurricane Center 2525 Correa Rd Suite 250 Honolulu, HI 96822 W-HFO.webmaster@noaa.gov Lower pressures are indicated in dark blue. The model is run twice a day at 0z and 12z. This seems plausible, as the European model is west of most of the rest of the forecast models. This content is currently not available in your region. We are both a research institute and a 24/7 operational service, producing global numerical weather predictions and other data for our Member and Co-operating States and the broader community. See our Privacy Policy and Third Party Partners to learn more about the use of data and your rights. The latest computer model runs of the European model in particular have caused a nudge west in the track forecast. NOAA: Two Tropical Cyclones May Develop This Week. We rely on readers like you to uphold a free press. Tracking Another Landfall - late October, (GWO already knew Where it would landfall), ___________________________________________, Predicted Laura's Landfall location and Category 4 Strength, GWO knows where every landfall will occur in 2020, (4 pm EST) Thursday Oct. 15 and Tuesday Oct. 20, __________________________________________________, Press Release 2020 - 2021 Seasons - click here, More Information - 2020 Hurricane Zone Predictions - click Here, Video - 2020 Hurricane Outlook by Professor Dilley, GlobalWeatherCycles.com GlobalWetherOscillations.com Tampa Florida - Ocala Florida USA, GWO knows where every landfall will occur in 2020, prices just lowered for remainder of season, GWO Tracks Storms 10-Days Prior to Landfall, More Information - 2020 Hurricane Zone Predictions -, GlobalWeatherCycles.com GlobalWetherOscillations.com, Purchase Your Zone and/or Tracking Webinars. NOAA National Hurricane Center Hurricane Delta Projected Path Louisiana. By clicking “I agree” below, you consent to the use by us and our third-party partners of cookies and data gathered from your use of our platforms. The graphics above show the barometric pressure field. In 2006, the ECMWF made improvements that resulted in accurate hurricane forecasting. Hurricane Delta Category Strength Hurricane Delta NOAA NHC Wind Arrival Time. The 2019–20 European windstorm season was the fifth instance of seasonal European windstorm naming in Europe. ______________________________________________, 1. NOAA’s National Hurricane Center issued a Public Advisory Update at 3 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on Friday, October 9, 2020, due to the presence of Hurricane Delta that is about to make landfall on Louisiana. Hurricane Delta is located 65 miles south of Cameron, Louisiana, and is moving to the north-northeast at 14 mph (22 km/h). By clicking “I agree” below, you consent to the use by us and our third-party partners of cookies and data gathered from your use of our platforms. The GFS American model (purple square), ECMWF European model (orange triangle), and official NHC track forecast (red circle) are in tight agreement that the tropical cyclone will move north-northeastward over Louisiana. This is the first season in which the Netherlands participates, joining Ireland's and the United Kingdom’s meteorological agencies. Fall Time Change 2020: When Do We Set Our Clocks Back For Daylight Saving Time? The National Hurricane Center forecasters suggest there may be a westward bias in the European model ensembles (shown below) that brings Delta the closest to Texas, like we saw with Hurricane Laura. A Storm Surge Warning is in effect from High Island, Texas to the mouth of the Pearl River, including Calcasieu Lake, Vermilion Bay, and LakeBorgne. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the center of the tropical cyclone and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km). A Hurricane Warning is in effect from east of High Island, Texas to Morgan City, Louisiana. Hurricane Delta is a category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale with maximum sustained winds of 105 mph (165 km/h) with higher gusts. Slow weakening is expected to begin as Delta approaches the northern Gulf Coast later today, with rapid weakening expected after the center moves inland. You also agree to our Terms of Service. NHC forecasters say that this motion should continue through Saturday morning. Most Accurate Pre-Season Hurricane Forecast Predictions 10 Years Running,13 Zones,Tracking Webinars, 2020 Hurricane Predictions United States, Florida, Texas, Louisiana, Lesser Antilles, climate change global warming global cooling, 2021 winter outlooks predictions Europe United States, The new European data protection law requires us to inform you of the following before you use our website: We use cookies and other technologies to customize your experience, perform analytics and deliver personalized advertising on our sites, apps and newsletters and across the Internet based on your interests. On the official NHC forecast track, the center of Delta should make landfall along the coast of southwestern Louisiana during the next several hours and then move across central and northeastern Louisiana tonight and Saturday morning. The GFS American model (purple square), ECMWF European model (orange triangle), and official NHC track forecast (red circle) are in tight agreement that the tropical cyclone will move north-northeastward over Louisiana. The European model is the one that consistently outperforms the GFS model run by NOAA according to The National Hurricane Center Forecast Verification report. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from west of east of High Island to Sargent, Texas; and east of Morgan City, Louisiana to the mouth of the Pearl River, including New Orleans Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas. A turn toward the northeast is expected later on Saturday. Please enable cookies on your web browser in order to continue. We use cookies and other technologies to customize your experience, perform analytics and deliver personalized advertising on our sites, apps and newsletters and across the Internet based on your interests. ECMWF is the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. The European Medium Range Forecast Model is considered one of the premiere global forecasting model for the mid-latitudes. For what it’s worth, I agree with this idea.
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